Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Hintz 53.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 92.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 84.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 86.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
McDavid
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
McDavid
Hintz
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
9
McDavid
Hintz
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
7
McDavid
Hintz
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
4
McDavid
Hintz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
53.8% (3,722)
-6.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
55.4% (567)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
52.9% (221)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hintz
Home
49.3% (4,570)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
McDavid
Hintz
P1
46.5%
55.5%
P2
48.7%
53.9%
P3
48.3%
52.7%
OT
40.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |