Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Hintz 53.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 70.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 65.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Ryan
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
4
(22 meetings)
18
4
Ryan
Hintz
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
7
3
Ryan
Hintz
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
1
Ryan
Hintz
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
53.8% (3,722)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
55.4% (567)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
52.9% (221)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hintz
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Ryan
Hintz
P1
55.1%
55.5%
P2
54.7%
53.9%
P3
56.0%
52.7%
OT
58.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |