Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 53.9%). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Hintz 53.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 58.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 56.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Spezza
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Spezza
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Spezza
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
53.8% (3,722)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
55.4% (567)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
52.9% (221)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hintz
Home
56.8% (5,066)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Spezza
Hintz
P1
55.7%
55.5%
P2
54.4%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
52.7%
OT
51.5%
49.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |