Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 48.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 19-4 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jooris 88.9%
Defensive zone
Jooris 84.2%
Neutral zone
Jooris 88.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Jooris
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
19
(23 meetings)
4
19
Jooris
Kesler
Last 10: Jooris 0-10 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Jooris
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
7
Jooris
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
7
Jooris
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (1,221)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.8%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
60.7% (1,437)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (175)
50.5% (1,908)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Jooris shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Jooris
Kesler
Home
49.0% (786)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.4% (651)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Jooris
Kesler
P1
47.5%
56.5%
P2
44.3%
55.9%
P3
51.3%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |