Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.9%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 23 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.0% vs Hintz 53.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 88.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 79.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 56.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stenlund
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Stenlund
Hintz
Last 10: Stenlund 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
5
13
Stenlund
Hintz
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
21
2
Stenlund
Hintz
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Stenlund
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,703)
53.8% (3,722)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
55.4% (567)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (919)
52.9% (221)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Stenlund shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Hintz
Home
54.3% (1,848)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
53.9% (1,890)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Stenlund
Hintz
P1
56.4%
55.5%
P2
53.3%
53.9%
P3
52.8%
52.7%
OT
52.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |