Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Hintz 58.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 95.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 71.1%
Neutral zone
Hintz 68.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
McCarron
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCarron
Hintz
Last 5: McCarron 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
McCarron
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
58.7% (530)
-5.6%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
59.4% (170)
-41.2%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
66.7% (27)
-13.0%
On power play, Hintz has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hintz
Home
52.8% (477)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.8% (411)
58.2% (373)
By Period
McCarron
Hintz
P1
56.5%
58.4%
P2
53.2%
59.8%
P3
49.0%
58.2%
OT
0.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |