Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Hintz 51.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 80.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 80.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 2-8 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
MacKinnon
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
7
MacKinnon
Hintz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
52.6% (439)
-7.9%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
37.9% (29)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
63.6% (11)
+1.4%
On even strength, Hintz has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
49.4% (553)
53.5% (256)
Away
40.0% (615)
50.2% (223)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
45.3%
59.5%
P2
42.7%
49.2%
P3
45.1%
47.1%
OT
46.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |