Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 74.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 56.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
MacKinnon
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
2
MacKinnon
Hintz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
53.6% (711)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
53.8% (93)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
58.7% (46)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
50.9% (740)
52.6% (460)
Away
49.0% (774)
55.4% (390)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
50.9%
59.0%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
51.1%
OT
58.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |