Nathan MacKinnon vs Roope Hintz

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Roope Hintz holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 49.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Hintz 60.3%
Defensive zone Hintz 74.6%
Neutral zone Hintz 56.7%
Result Roope Hintz favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
MacKinnon Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
MacKinnon Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Hintz

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
0
MacKinnon Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
MacKinnon Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
2
MacKinnon Hintz
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
53.6% (711)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
53.8% (93)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
58.7% (46)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +9.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
50.9% (740)
52.6% (460)
Away
49.0% (774)
55.4% (390)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
50.9%
59.0%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
47.1%
51.1%
OT
58.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
59.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
49.9%
Hintz
64.0%
61.0%
53.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 16, 2025 3 14:32 Neutral Roope Hintz
Mar 16, 2025 3 11:09 Defensive Roope Hintz
Mar 16, 2025 3 10:50 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2025 2 17:19 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2025 1 01:47 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 16, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Roope Hintz
Nov 29, 2024 3 09:50 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 29, 2024 2 07:07 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 29, 2024 1 06:20 Defensive Roope Hintz
Nov 29, 2024 1 03:19 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 29, 2024 1 02:54 Defensive Roope Hintz
Nov 29, 2024 1 00:58 Defensive Roope Hintz