Nathan MacKinnon vs Roope Hintz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Hintz 53.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 36-28 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 71.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
36
(64 meetings)
28
36
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
18
6
MacKinnon
Hintz
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
11
MacKinnon
Hintz
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
8
19
MacKinnon
Hintz
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
53.8% (3,722)
-7.7%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
55.4% (567)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
52.9% (221)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
49.7% (6,444)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
47.4%
55.5%
P2
46.6%
53.9%
P3
46.1%
52.7%
OT
48.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |