Scouting Report
Aaron Gagnon holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagnon 50.8% vs Wheeler 46.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gagnon 72.1%
Neutral zone
Gagnon 58.5%
Result
Aaron Gagnon favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Gagnon
Wheeler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gagnon
Wheeler
Last 7: Gagnon 4-3 Wheeler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagnon
1
0
Gagnon
Wheeler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gagnon
Wheeler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagnon
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (141)
46.7% (1,369)
+5.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
46.9% (207)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
35.7% (129)
+1.8%
On power play, Gagnon has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Gagnon is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Gagnon shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Gagnon
Wheeler
Home
58.6% (70)
47.5% (883)
Away
45.1% (82)
44.2% (822)
By Period
Gagnon
Wheeler
P1
52.8%
45.0%
P2
61.8%
48.2%
P3
36.4%
44.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagnon
52.0%▬
51.3%
51.3%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |