Scouting Report
John Madden holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Gagnon wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Madden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagnon 48.6% vs Madden 49.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagnon 74.4%
Defensive zone
Gagnon 50.9%
Neutral zone
Gagnon 58.8%
Result
Aaron Gagnon favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Gagnon
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gagnon
Madden
Last 5: Gagnon 1-4 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gagnon
Madden
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
0
1
Gagnon
Madden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
0
2
Gagnon
Madden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagnon
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (38)
49.6% (268)
-4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (5)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
57.1% (35)
-57.1%
On power play, Gagnon has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Gagnon is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Gagnon shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Gagnon
Madden
Home
66.7% (9)
52.3% (151)
Away
38.7% (31)
46.9% (162)
By Period
Gagnon
Madden
P1
46.2%
54.9%
P2
69.2%
54.1%
P3
21.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagnon
52.0%▬
51.3%
45.0%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | John Madden |