Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagnon wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagnon 51.0% vs Goc 51.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 59.4%
Defensive zone
Goc 60.7%
Neutral zone
Gagnon 50.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Gagnon
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gagnon
Goc
Last 5: Gagnon 3-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Gagnon
Goc
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagnon
2
0
Gagnon
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagnon
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (51)
51.3% (591)
+1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.8% (78)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.6% (117)
-9.6%
On power play, Gagnon has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Gagnon is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Gagnon shoots right. Goc is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Gagnon
Goc
Home
58.5% (41)
51.1% (393)
Away
37.5% (16)
53.2% (393)
By Period
Gagnon
Goc
P1
56.5%
51.0%
P2
68.4%
57.8%
P3
26.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagnon
52.0%▬
51.3%
52.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Aaron Gagnon |