Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Raty 50.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 50.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 53.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Raty
Kesler
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
56.4% (8,095)
+2.1%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
60.7% (1,437)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
50.5% (1,908)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Raty
Kesler
Home
59.6% (547)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
59.4% (461)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Raty
Kesler
P1
59.5%
56.5%
P2
62.8%
55.9%
P3
56.6%
56.1%
OT
53.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%