Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 65.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 79.3%
Neutral zone
Raty 65.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Raty
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Raty
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
51.8% (7,849)
+6.7%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
54.8% (1,048)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
44.2% (1,109)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Raty
Karlsson
Home
59.6% (547)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
59.4% (461)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Raty
Karlsson
P1
59.5%
50.3%
P2
62.8%
51.3%
P3
56.6%
52.4%
OT
53.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
62.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |