Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 56.6%). Look for Vermette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Vermette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Vermette 56.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 57.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 77.3%
Neutral zone
Burish 60.6%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Burish
Vermette
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Burish
Vermette
Last 5: Burish 1-4 Vermette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
0
3
Burish
Vermette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Vermette
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Vermette
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
57.5% (857)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.6% (177)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
43.2% (95)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vermette shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Vermette is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Burish
Vermette
Home
60.7% (183)
58.7% (547)
Away
51.5% (206)
54.6% (593)
By Period
Burish
Vermette
P1
53.3%
58.6%
P2
56.3%
58.7%
P3
57.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |