Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 54.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 62.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Burish
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Burish
MacKenzie
Last 10: Burish 5-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
4
Burish
MacKenzie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Burish
MacKenzie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Burish
MacKenzie
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
54.9% (3,660)
-0.3%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
55.9% (102)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
46.7% (1,158)
+6.3%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Burish
MacKenzie
Home
58.1% (578)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
50.7% (698)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Burish
MacKenzie
P1
53.0%
51.9%
P2
53.8%
53.0%
P3
55.8%
54.0%
OT
40.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |