Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Burish wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.4% vs MacKenzie 57.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Burish 67.5%
Defensive zone
Burish 70.5%
Neutral zone
Burish 72.1%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Burish
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Burish
MacKenzie
Last 10: Burish 3-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
3
Burish
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Burish
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
4
Burish
MacKenzie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (193)
61.0% (264)
-10.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
100.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (33)
49.1% (55)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Burish is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Burish shoots right. MacKenzie is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Burish
MacKenzie
Home
56.0% (100)
62.1% (145)
Away
51.6% (128)
57.3% (178)
By Period
Burish
MacKenzie
P1
52.6%
51.6%
P2
56.3%
59.8%
P3
52.9%
65.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |