Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Burish on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 51.7% vs MacKenzie 52.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 58.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 57.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 58.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Burish
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Burish
MacKenzie
Last 5: Burish 3-2 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Burish
MacKenzie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
3
1
Burish
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (85)
55.1% (737)
-3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
36.8% (19)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
48.9% (266)
+13.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Burish is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Burish shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Burish
MacKenzie
Home
59.1% (22)
54.9% (506)
Away
51.8% (85)
51.4% (516)
By Period
Burish
MacKenzie
P1
52.4%
54.5%
P2
54.9%
55.6%
P3
50.0%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Adam Burish |