Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Burish 52.8%
Defensive zone
Burish 93.5%
Neutral zone
Burish 77.0%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Burish
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Burish
Toews
Last 10: Burish 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
11
Burish
Toews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
57.2% (13,047)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
63.3% (3,252)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
53.6% (1,810)
-0.6%
On power play, Toews has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Burish
Toews
Home
58.1% (578)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
50.7% (698)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Burish
Toews
P1
53.0%
58.6%
P2
53.8%
57.8%
P3
55.8%
57.3%
OT
40.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |