Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.9% vs Toews 56.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 66.2%
Defensive zone
Burish 93.4%
Neutral zone
Burish 73.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Burish
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Burish
Toews
Last 7: Burish 0-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
7
Burish
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (331)
55.6% (1,125)
+0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
59.3% (312)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (128)
57.4% (204)
-9.0%
On power play, Toews has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Burish is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Burish shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Burish
Toews
Home
57.1% (233)
59.8% (858)
Away
50.0% (244)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Burish
Toews
P1
52.9%
58.7%
P2
51.0%
55.1%
P3
56.8%
56.5%
OT
42.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |