Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.4% vs Toews 59.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burish 56.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 83.8%
Neutral zone
Burish 69.6%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Burish
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Burish
Toews
Last 5: Burish 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Burish
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (193)
57.3% (736)
-6.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
71.4% (133)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (33)
66.1% (62)
+0.6%
On power play, Burish has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Burish is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Burish shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Burish
Toews
Home
56.0% (100)
61.0% (479)
Away
51.6% (128)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Burish
Toews
P1
52.6%
61.3%
P2
56.3%
57.9%
P3
52.9%
59.3%
OT
0.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |