Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.1%). Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Burish leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 68.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.0%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Burish
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Burish
Koivu
Last 10: Burish 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Burish
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
4
0
Burish
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Burish
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
58.6% (2,100)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
48.9% (1,688)
+4.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Burish
Koivu
Home
58.1% (578)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
50.7% (698)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Burish
Koivu
P1
53.0%
53.5%
P2
53.8%
54.6%
P3
55.8%
54.0%
OT
40.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |