Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 54.0%). Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.4% vs Koivu 53.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 83.1%
Defensive zone
Burish 72.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 55.2%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Burish
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Burish
Koivu
Last 5: Burish 4-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
3
0
Burish
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Burish
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (193)
53.6% (739)
-2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.2% (137)
+43.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (33)
53.7% (95)
+13.0%
On power play, Burish has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Burish is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Burish shoots right. Koivu is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Burish
Koivu
Home
56.0% (100)
56.0% (495)
Away
51.6% (128)
51.9% (476)
By Period
Burish
Koivu
P1
52.6%
54.9%
P2
56.3%
53.5%
P3
52.9%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Adam Burish |