Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.9% vs Backstrom 52.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 84.9%
Defensive zone
Burish 81.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Burish
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Burish
Backstrom
Last 8: Burish 2-6 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
5
Burish
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
1
0
Burish
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Burish
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (331)
52.1% (940)
+3.8%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
51.3% (267)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (128)
55.4% (83)
-7.0%
On power play, Backstrom has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Burish is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Burish shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Burish
Backstrom
Home
57.1% (233)
53.6% (638)
Away
50.0% (244)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Burish
Backstrom
P1
52.9%
54.8%
P2
51.0%
50.5%
P3
56.8%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
59.1%
Final 5 min
58.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |