Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 85.1%
Defensive zone
Burish 73.4%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 62.2%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Burish
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Burish
Jokinen
Last 10: Burish 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
8
Burish
Jokinen
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
5
4
Burish
Jokinen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
2
1
Burish
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
45.8% (3,924)
+8.8%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
50.8% (585)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
42.9% (247)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Burish
Jokinen
Home
58.1% (578)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
50.7% (698)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Burish
Jokinen
P1
53.0%
45.6%
P2
53.8%
47.5%
P3
55.8%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Adam Burish |