Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burish 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 58.7%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Burish
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Burish
Pahlsson
Last 6: Burish 1-5 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burish
1
0
Burish
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Burish
Pahlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Burish
Pahlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
53.0% (1,716)
+1.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
60.0% (35)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
49.8% (548)
+3.2%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Burish
Pahlsson
Home
58.1% (578)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
50.7% (698)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Burish
Pahlsson
P1
53.0%
54.6%
P2
53.8%
50.7%
P3
55.8%
51.8%
OT
40.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |