Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cracknell wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 41.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.0%
Defensive zone
Cracknell 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cracknell 64.7%
Result
Adam Cracknell favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Cracknell
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cracknell
Spezza
Last 6: Cracknell 2-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
1
0
Cracknell
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Cracknell
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (863)
54.4% (7,990)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (46)
52.7% (643)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Cracknell is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Cracknell shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Spezza
Home
42.1% (406)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
39.5% (519)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Cracknell
Spezza
P1
39.0%
55.7%
P2
40.8%
54.4%
P3
43.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
36.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
40.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |