Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cracknell wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 41.6% vs Spezza 54.4% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 57.2%
Defensive zone
Cracknell 73.6%
Neutral zone
Cracknell 64.5%
Result
Adam Cracknell favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Cracknell
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cracknell
Spezza
Last 6: Cracknell 2-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
1
0
Cracknell
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Cracknell
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (360)
53.2% (763)
-12.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
60.9% (197)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
26.9% (26)
57.1% (21)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Cracknell is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cracknell shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Spezza
Home
41.6% (149)
57.5% (518)
Away
38.2% (246)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Cracknell
Spezza
P1
40.0%
55.4%
P2
36.6%
54.1%
P3
41.9%
55.5%
Final 5 min
35.5%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
39.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |