Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Colborne 48.7% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Erne 52.0%
Defensive zone
Colborne 54.4%
Neutral zone
Colborne 53.6%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Erne
Colborne
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
47.7% (960)
+5.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
52.4% (170)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
54.3% (35)
-0.5%
On power play, Colborne has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Erne
Colborne
Home
57.8% (109)
56.1% (569)
Away
45.5% (99)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Erne
Colborne
P1
59.0%
50.3%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
45.3%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%