Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Laferriere shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Laferriere 43.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 54.8%
Defensive zone
Laferriere 83.3%
Neutral zone
Laferriere 58.8%
Result
Alex Laferriere favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Fantilli
Laferriere
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fantilli
Laferriere
Last 6: Fantilli 2-4 Laferriere
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Laferriere
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
3
Fantilli
Laferriere
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laferriere
0
1
Fantilli
Laferriere
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Laferriere
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
41.9% (322)
+7.7%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
52.9% (17)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.1% (70)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laferriere shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Laferriere is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Laferriere
Home
50.8% (472)
40.3% (201)
Away
49.2% (480)
42.8% (208)
By Period
Fantilli
Laferriere
P1
47.8%
33.1%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
50.0%
48.2%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |