Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Horvat 55.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.3%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Fantilli
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Fantilli
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
56.4% (493)
-6.4%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
63.7% (168)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
44.6% (83)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Horvat
Home
53.0% (334)
58.8% (391)
Away
48.7% (372)
54.4% (353)
By Period
Fantilli
Horvat
P1
48.7%
61.2%
P2
53.9%
53.1%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
OT
28.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.1%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |