Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Sissons 55.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 53.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 94.1%
Neutral zone
Sissons 74.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Fantilli
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Sissons
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Sissons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (826)
57.0% (428)
-7.4%
Power Play
52.0% (98)
58.8% (17)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
53.0% (115)
+1.5%
On even strength, Sissons has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Fantilli is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Fantilli shoots left. Sissons is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Sissons
Home
50.8% (472)
52.9% (263)
Away
49.0% (463)
59.3% (297)
By Period
Fantilli
Sissons
P1
47.7%
55.8%
P2
52.7%
57.6%
P3
49.8%
55.4%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.9%
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |