Adam Fantilli vs Justin Hryckowian
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Hryckowian 54.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 89.4%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 68.8%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Last 5: Fantilli 4-1 Hryckowian
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hryckowian
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Hryckowian
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (826)
59.3% (214)
-9.7%
Power Play
52.0% (98)
62.5% (8)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
30.8% (26)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hryckowian shoots left. Fantilli is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Fantilli shoots left. Hryckowian is 62.1% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Home
50.8% (472)
58.1% (129)
Away
49.0% (463)
54.6% (119)
By Period
Fantilli
Hryckowian
P1
47.7%
49.3%
P2
52.7%
65.4%
P3
49.8%
52.2%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.9%
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |