Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Geekie 48.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 55.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 82.5%
Neutral zone
Geekie 64.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Fantilli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Fantilli
Geekie
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
1
Fantilli
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Fantilli
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
48.8% (2,307)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
45.7% (188)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
45.7% (129)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Geekie
Home
47.3% (1,178)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
Fantilli
Geekie
P1
44.0%
48.6%
P2
46.2%
48.8%
P3
45.9%
47.7%
OT
24.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |