Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.2%). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Smyth 45.8% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 59.8%
Defensive zone
Smyth 56.6%
Neutral zone
Smyth 50.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Fantilli
Smyth
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
45.2% (456)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
51.8% (164)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
23.3% (43)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Smyth is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Smyth
Home
47.3% (1,178)
49.7% (340)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Fantilli
Smyth
P1
44.0%
48.3%
P2
46.2%
41.7%
P3
45.9%
46.5%
OT
24.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%