Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Connolly 47.3% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 64.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 61.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Fantilli
Connolly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
47.4% (1,307)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
50.2% (251)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
41.9% (186)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Connolly
Home
47.3% (1,178)
48.5% (870)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Fantilli
Connolly
P1
44.0%
47.4%
P2
46.2%
47.7%
P3
45.9%
47.0%
OT
24.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%