Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Cizikas 49.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 80.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 56.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Gaudette
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaudette
Cizikas
Last 9: Gaudette 4-5 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Cizikas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Gaudette
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
4
Gaudette
Cizikas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
49.9% (815)
-10.0%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
60.0% (10)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.7% (188)
+5.3%
On power play, Cizikas has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Cizikas is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Cizikas
Home
39.1% (225)
49.3% (477)
Away
42.5% (146)
48.9% (536)
By Period
Gaudette
Cizikas
P1
45.0%
49.3%
P2
42.6%
51.5%
P3
34.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |