Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.1% vs Tierney 49.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Gaudette leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 63.4%
Defensive zone
Tierney 85.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 64.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Gaudette
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Gaudette
Tierney
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Tierney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
4
Gaudette
Tierney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
2
Gaudette
Tierney
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,410)
49.3% (5,342)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
52.3% (342)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.6% (857)
-2.2%
On even strength, Tierney has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Gaudette is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,141).
Gaudette shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Tierney
Home
45.5% (888)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
41.6% (714)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Gaudette
Tierney
P1
44.2%
49.3%
P2
45.9%
47.7%
P3
40.8%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
43.8%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |