Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Backes 50.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 79.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 50.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 64.1%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Gaudette
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gaudette
Backes
Last 8: Gaudette 3-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Gaudette
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Gaudette
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
51.1% (5,772)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
50.8% (1,082)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.4% (930)
-0.7%
On even strength, Backes has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Backes
Home
45.9% (912)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
41.9% (754)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Gaudette
Backes
P1
44.4%
50.1%
P2
46.5%
51.5%
P3
41.1%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | David Backes |