Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Backes 55.3% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 52.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 63.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Gaudette
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gaudette
Backes
Last 8: Gaudette 3-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Gaudette
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Gaudette
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
55.7% (228)
-15.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
65.2% (66)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.0% (15)
+10.0%
On power play, Backes has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Gaudette is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Gaudette shoots right. Backes is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Backes
Home
39.1% (225)
55.9% (188)
Away
42.5% (146)
58.7% (121)
By Period
Gaudette
Backes
P1
45.0%
53.0%
P2
42.6%
56.6%
P3
34.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | David Backes |