Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 48.5% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 90.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Gaudette
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudette
Lindholm
Last 7: Gaudette 5-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Gaudette
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Lindholm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
54.4% (722)
-8.7%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
62.2% (164)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
49.4% (83)
+0.6%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lindholm
Home
48.4% (91)
55.8% (541)
Away
47.4% (133)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Gaudette
Lindholm
P1
45.2%
54.8%
P2
51.9%
55.7%
P3
45.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.8%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |