Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs McKegg 49.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 73.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 74.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 50.7%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Gaudette
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaudette
McKegg
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
1
Gaudette
McKegg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Gaudette
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Gaudette
McKegg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
49.1% (1,143)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
50.0% (24)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
48.8% (86)
-2.1%
On even strength, McKegg has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Gaudette
McKegg
Home
45.9% (912)
50.4% (554)
Away
41.9% (754)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Gaudette
McKegg
P1
44.4%
48.7%
P2
46.5%
49.9%
P3
41.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |