Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Barbashev 46.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 51.9%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 87.9%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 56.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Gaudette
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Barbashev
Last 6: Gaudette 5-1 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Barbashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
4
1
Gaudette
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
46.5% (389)
-6.6%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
16.7% (6)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.3% (46)
+8.7%
On power play, Gaudette has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Barbashev
Home
39.1% (225)
45.9% (233)
Away
42.5% (146)
45.2% (208)
By Period
Gaudette
Barbashev
P1
45.0%
46.5%
P2
42.6%
48.3%
P3
34.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |