Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Reichel 41.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 80.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 58.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 70.1%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Gaudette
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Gaudette
Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Reichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
40.1% (668)
+3.6%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
48.2% (56)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
0.0% (6)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudette has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Reichel
Home
45.9% (912)
41.2% (410)
Away
41.9% (754)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Gaudette
Reichel
P1
44.4%
41.9%
P2
46.5%
36.3%
P3
41.1%
42.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |