Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Ellis 46.8% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 72.5%
Defensive zone
Ellis 66.4%
Neutral zone
Ellis 53.8%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Gaudette
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
47.3% (607)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
28.6% (7)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.1% (95)
+4.6%
On power play, Gaudette has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Ellis
Home
45.9% (912)
48.5% (303)
Away
41.9% (754)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Gaudette
Ellis
P1
44.4%
50.0%
P2
46.5%
46.2%
P3
41.1%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%