Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.1% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 82.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 54.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 65.3%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Gaudette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudette
Nash
Last 7: Gaudette 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Gaudette
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,410)
48.7% (4,621)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
51.0% (249)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.9% (550)
-0.5%
On even strength, Nash has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gaudette is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Gaudette shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Nash
Home
45.5% (888)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
41.6% (714)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Gaudette
Nash
P1
44.2%
49.0%
P2
45.9%
47.9%
P3
40.8%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
43.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |