Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 79.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 65.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Gaudette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudette
Nash
Last 7: Gaudette 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Gaudette
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
48.7% (4,621)
-5.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
51.0% (249)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
44.9% (550)
+1.8%
On even strength, Nash has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Nash
Home
45.9% (912)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
41.9% (754)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Gaudette
Nash
P1
44.4%
49.0%
P2
46.5%
47.9%
P3
41.1%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Riley Nash |