Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Nash 48.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 82.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 59.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 57.6%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Gaudette
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudette
Nash
Last 6: Gaudette 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
48.3% (449)
-7.3%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
37.5% (8)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
45.5% (55)
-2.6%
On even strength, Nash has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Gaudette is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Gaudette shoots right. Nash is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Nash
Home
46.0% (250)
51.6% (275)
Away
35.3% (204)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Gaudette
Nash
P1
40.8%
52.7%
P2
42.8%
43.9%
P3
39.7%
47.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Riley Nash |