Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Monahan 51.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 87.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 86.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 88.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 87.3%
12.7%
87.3%
Gaudette
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Monahan
Last 5: Gaudette 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
51.1% (11,356)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
53.7% (2,580)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
46.0% (766)
+0.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Monahan
Home
45.9% (912)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
41.9% (754)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Gaudette
Monahan
P1
44.4%
50.9%
P2
46.5%
51.7%
P3
41.1%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |