Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Richardson 53.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.3%
Defensive zone
Richardson 79.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 51.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Henrique
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Richardson
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Richardson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
2
Henrique
Richardson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
55.4% (525)
-1.9%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
57.9% (19)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
46.5% (114)
+4.4%
On power play, Henrique has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Richardson is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Henrique
Richardson
Home
57.4% (467)
56.7% (344)
Away
52.7% (463)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Henrique
Richardson
P1
55.4%
48.8%
P2
56.7%
54.1%
P3
54.0%
58.4%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |