Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Sutter 49.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Henrique
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Henrique
Sutter
Last 8: Henrique 5-3 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Sutter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Sutter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
49.6% (274)
+3.9%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
50.0% (26)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
46.2% (78)
+4.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Henrique
Sutter
Home
57.4% (467)
46.6% (178)
Away
52.7% (463)
51.0% (200)
By Period
Henrique
Sutter
P1
55.4%
43.5%
P2
56.7%
51.7%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |